Karjalainen et al,31 1998 | • Top-level veteran orienteers (ie, runners) • 228 in orienteer group vs 212 in control group; 100% men • 10-y follow-up | 47.5 | • High position in veteran ranking is an indicator of y of intense training • Lone AF | • AF developed in 5.3% of orienteers vs 8.9% of control group (RR = 5.5; P = .012) | • Men only • Cohort information insuffcient • No correction for confounding • Unreliable outcome assessment • Potential recall bias | High |
Frost et al,32 2005 | • Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health Study data • 19–593 (51%) men and 18 807 women • Mean 5.7-y follow-up | 56 | • Heavy physical workload (self-report) • AF or atrial futter | • No differences between the sexes* • No differences overall* | • Few subjects exposed to heavy work or vigorous PA • Relied on registry outcomes • Could not separate AF from atrial futter • Potential recall bias | Moderate |
Heidbuchel et al,33 2006 | • 137 patients after ablation for atrial futter; 83% men • 31 of the 137 patients regularly engaged in sports before ablation • Mean 2.5-y follow-up | 58 | • Intense competitive activity ≥ 3 h per wk • Development of AF after ablation for atrial futter | • AF development in high PA (HR = 1.81; P = .02) • No differences between the sexes | • Status after ablation not comparable • Higher rate of cardiovascular disease • Potential for recall bias • No correction for confounding | Moderate |
Molina et al,34 2008 | • 252 Barcelona marathon runners vs 305 sedentary men; 100% men • Retrospective cohort study • Mean 11.6-y follow-up | 39 | • Marathon running • Lone AF | • Endurance sport practice associated with higher risk of lone AF (HR = 8.80, 95% CI 1.26 to 61.29; P = .028)* | • Men only • Control group recruited from different population • 5-y difference in follow-up duration • Risk of recall bias • All AF events not considered | Moderate |
Mozaffarian et al,35 2008 | • Cardiovascular Health Study Medicare eligibility lists in US communities • 5446 participants; 42% men • Post hoc analysis of RCT • 12-y follow-up | 73 | • ≥6 MET† of intensity • ≥ 1840 kcal/wk (self-report) • AF on annual examination or electrocardiogram | • Graded reduction in AF with light to moderate PA intensity* • No reduction in AF with high PA intensity | | |
(RR = 0.87, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.19)* | • With an older cohort, there was less high-intensity PA • No sex differences examined | Low | | | | |
Aizer et al,36 2009 | • 16–921 men in Physicians’ Health Study • Post hoc analysis of RCT • 12-y follow-up | 51 | • Suffcient to “work up a sweat” 5–7 d/ wk (self-report) • AF | • RR for 0 vs 5–7 d/wk (joggers) of vigorous exercise was 1.20 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.41; P = .04)* • Elevated risk observed if aged < 50 y (RR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.47; P < .01) | • Men only • Some retrospective subgroup analysis • Association seen at 3-y evaluation but not at 9 y | Low |
Pelliccia et al,37 2010 | • 114 Olympic athletes vs 97 people in control group; 78% n • 8.6-y follow-up | 22 | • Participation in Olympic-endurance disciplines and having multiple games experience • Cardiac symptoms or events | • No cardiac events developed for more than 8 y • Reduced incidence compared with general population | • Very young study cohort • Small group and therefore few potential outcomes • Screening of multiple cardiovascular systems before enrolment • Control group was very ft; had participated in 1 Olympic game | High |
Everett et al,38 2011 | • 34 759 women who had been part of the Women’s Health Study • 20-y follow-up | 57.5 | • ≥ 6 MET† of intensity • ≥ 15 MET† h/wk • AF | • No difference in incident of AF among quintiles after adjusting for hypertension and obesity* | • Women only • Very few women underwent strenuous activity • Self-assessment of PA intensity • Self-assessment of outcomes | Low |
Andersen et al,39 2013 | • 52 755 Swedish participants in a 90-km cross-country skiing event; 87% men • Mean 9.7-y follow-up | 38.5 | • Fast finishing time or high number of races completed • AF or atrial flutter | • Higher risk of AF among those who completed > 5 races (HR = 1.29, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.61) and among those who had the fastest relative fnishing times (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.55)* | • Outcomes include AF or atrial futter • Cohort was still extremely active and not representative of general population | Low |
Thelle et al,40 2013 | • 309 540 Norwegians in a public health screening program; 48% men • 4-y follow-up | 41.4 | • Frequent hard training or competitive PA • Flecainide prescription | • Increase in AF in men with high intensity PA (HR = 3.14, 95% CI 2.17 to 4.54)* | • High attrition rate over time • Surrogate outcome (fecainide) for lone AF • Self-assessment of PA intensity • Risk of recall bias | Moderate |
Williams and Franklin,41 2013 | • 46 807 participants in the National Runners’ and Walkers’ Health studies; 41% men • Age range was 33–72 y • 6.2-y follow-up | NA | • ≥ 6 MET† of intensity • ≥ 5.4 MET† h/d • Any cardiac arrhythmia | • Arrhythmia risk declined by 4.8% each MET† h/d over baseline for runners and walkers* • Beneft was higher for those aged < 50 y | • Self-report of PA intensity • Self-report of physician diagnosis • No differentiation of arrhythmia type • Risk of selection bias • Incomplete statistical reporting | Moderate |
Bapat et al,42 2014 | • Participants from MESA database | NA | • Highest of 3 PA intensity categories was > 2383 MET† min/wk • AF | • At highest intensity PA in 1 model, HR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.02; P < .05* | • There are insuffcient data to properly evaluate this study | High |
Drca et al,43 2014 | • 44 410 Swedish men • Mean follow-up of 12 y | 60 | • Any leisure-time PA of > 5 h/wk • AF or atrial futter | • Walking or cycling at age 30 y showed beneft in AF reduction • Risk of AF increased at age 30 y for > 5 h/wk of PA (RR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.36; P = .008)* | • Men only • Risk of recall bias • Self-assessment of PA intensity • Outcomes included AF and atrial futter | Moderate |
Ghorbani et al,44 2014 | • 28 169 US men • 8-y follow-up | 68 | • PA > 6 MET† with high MET h/wk | • No correlation between AF and PA* | • Men only • Self-assessment of PA intensity • Self-report of physician diagnosis • Participation and dropout rates were unclear | Moderate |
Knuiman et al,45 2014 | • 4267 adults from Busselton, Western Australia; 44% men • 15-y follow-up | 52 | • Vigorous exercise in a usual week • AF | • Higher level of PA associated with non-signifcant trend to reduced AF* | • 57% survey response • Self-assessment of PA intensity • Risk of recall bias | Moderate |
Myrstad et al,46 2014 | • 2366 Norwegian men participating in 56-km cross-country ski race vs 1179 men from general population • 9-y follow-up | 66 | • Endurance PA for > 30 min > 3 times per wk • AF or atrial futter | • Increased risk of AF for 10 y of vigorous PA (HR = 1.16, 95% CI 0.06 to 1.28) in skiers* | • Men only • Controls from different population • Self report of recent PA • Risk of selection bias | Moderate |