The Canadian health care system is currently undergoing a crisis and has been moving through a never-ending series of crises for decades: 20% of Canadians are without a family physician or other primary care provider1 and health inequalities are worsening, with up to a 10-year difference in life expectancy between communities.2,3 The life expectancy value in Canada is growing faster than health-adjusted life expectancy (ie, a measure that includes quality of life, in addition to quantity of life) owing to advances and innovations in medicine, and this increase in life expectancy is not equitably distributed.3 In the face of all of this, health care professionals are reaching record levels of burnout.4
Patients, doctors, health professionals, and health authorities are advocating urgent and sustainable solutions. The College of Family Physicians of Canada (CFPC) Ethics Committee invites the entire medical community, as well as patients, families, health authorities, and governments, into a dialogue on this urgent question: Given that the demand for health care services grows far faster than supply, should we all take a closer look at the demand side of the crisis?
This article is the first in a 3-part series that aims to foster this dialogue. This first article highlights the forces at play behind the health care crisis. The second article will propose how society can reframe the overall goal of the system. The third article will explore solutions to the crisis, with a particular focus on end of life. This 3-part series has been created by the CFPC Ethics Committee.
Case
You open your news application before a long clinic day and glance at the headlines: Emergency departments (EDs) have reached capacity in your area; many of your fellow Canadians are without a family physician or other primary care provider; a northern Indigenous community is lacking adequate housing and clean water; your local hospital has a massive nurse shortage; and the drug toxicity crisis, once limited to opioids, has intensified. You take a deep breath. Nothing here is new. You have been reading the same news for at least 30 years. While reflecting on this thought, you realize you have become numb to this and are on the verge of cynicism. You open your emails. A medical journal headline informs you that a single prostate serum antigen screening can lower the mortality rate from prostate cancer, but when you read the abstract, you realize that the absolute mortality reduction is minuscule. Your clinic manager informs you that a secretary has resigned, too stressed with the volume of telephone calls and increasing patient expectations. An email from your local health authority is asking for volunteers for their winter clinics aimed at offloading the pressure in the ED. You hesitate. You often find yourself working late into the evening, checking laboratory test results and making telephone calls. Your family members have been noting how exhausted you are and that you are less interested in doing things with them. You start your clinic telling yourself you will think about it later.
Understanding the forces at play: the perfect storm
Over the past 5 decades, health care spending in Canada has skyrocketed, increasing by nearly 500%.5 Between 1980 and 2022, the percentage of gross domestic product dedicated to health care rose from 6.5% to 11.2%.6 Despite these investments, health care still finds itself in crisis.
While this growth appears to reflect improvements in care, it masks a more complex reality: Behind the rising costs lies a redefinition of needs, growing societal expectations, and structural challenges posed by medical advancements.
Needs trap
Unlike other forms of distributive justice, which may be based on egalitarian justice or equitable access, our health care system allocates resources according to what are termed needs.
However, a need is a non-standardized concept that has evolved considerably in recent decades. Defining the concept of needs and then prioritizing them has been an unending task. Easterlin’s paradox provides insight7: Increased material wealth does not necessarily lead to greater happiness because societal expectations adjust. As more people gain access to certain goods such as cars, air conditioning, or smartphones, these goods transition from luxuries to perceived necessities or needs.
Health care needs follow similar logic. With technological and medical progress, there is a corresponding expanded perception of what the health care system should offer. What was once considered an inevitable part of human life—aging, discomfort, anxiety, and death—are now perceived as unacceptable medical problems requiring medical solutions. This has led to increasing societal demands, overdiagnosis, and overtreatment, as well as the medicalization of aging and dying, among other domains.
Illusions of morbidity compression and reduced mortality
Medicine likes to believe that, by treating illness, it will compress its duration.8 While this is often true, the treatment of chronic diseases, such as cardiovascular disease and cancer, leads instead to an expansion of life with disease.9 For example, Canadians with dementia are living longer than before.10 But the more advanced a disease, the more it leads to additional monitoring, specialized expertise, and health care and resources use (Figure 1).
Long-term impacts of reducing mortality
Another common, yet fallacious, belief of medicine is that it can reduce mortality. While this may be true at any discrete point in the lifespan, human beings have a 100% mortality rate. By neglecting to specify the timing and duration of this reduction, many scientific article headlines foster a dogma that mortality must be reduced at all costs and at any stage of a patient’s life.
Impact of technological and pharmaceutical advances
Scientific and technical progress has revolutionized medicine, offering unprecedented solutions for treating previously incurable diseases. However, these advances are not merely scientific and technical, they are also intimately social and have amplified economic and structural challenges within health care systems.
Cutting-edge technologies such as magnetic resonance imaging deliver remarkable diagnostic gains at rapidly escalating cost. Their use is frequently driven by availability rather than clinical necessity. This dynamic reflects a principle in health economics, often referred to as Roemer’s Law, whereby expanding medical supply—initially observed for hospital beds—tends to generate its own demand across health systems worldwide today.11,12
Another example is that the use of intensive care units (ICUs), which costs 3 times more, uses far more human resources, and is growing faster than the number of acute care hospitalizations in general.13 Furthermore, a retrospective cohort study showed that increasing the number of ICU beds in a hospital increased the odds that a patient with advanced dementia would receive mechanical ventilation, doubling the rate of mechanical ventilation without improving survival.14
Similarly, advances in treatments for conditions such as diabetes, kidney failure, or heart failure have allowed millions to live longer. However, this increased longevity contributes to expansion of life with disease, which leads to increased pressure on the system.15 This cycle is exacerbated by a culture that values technical interventions and expensive innovations, often at the expense of preventive measures or primary care.16
Denial of death: a burden on health care systems
Modernity has profoundly altered our relationship with death. Dying is no longer seen as an inevitable stage of life but as a failure of the medical system. The goal of reducing mortality, applied indiscriminately, means that we are collectively missing the chance of what is deemed a good death, as noted in numerous reports on missed opportunities for palliative care.17
Furthermore, Canada is among the highest-ranking countries in terms of medical expenses at end of life.18 The statistics are striking, with nearly 25% of health care spending devoted to the final months of patients’ lives, often for invasive treatments with minimal impact on longevity and major negative impact on quality of life. This high financial cost reflects a systemic and societal misalignment.18
Our health care system’s decision to push toward more aggressive medical management, while motivated by a certain form of hope, reflects our inability to initiate courageous discussions about goals of care, particularly at end of life.
Dr Iona Heath, an English family physician, expands on this:
Nowadays, doctors are driven by a sense of guilt and discomfort at fighting more and more for the prolongation of life, often at the expense of its quality. Once again, the hubris and ambition of biomedical science are largely responsible for the dangerous and damaging denial of death in contemporary society.19
Performance paradox: a system that fuels its own crisis
The above analysis reveals a less frequently discussed aspect of the crisis, that is, the role of the health care system itself in increasing demand. The more effective the health care system becomes in reducing mortality and extending life, the more it creates a population in need of prolonged care (Figure 2). This phenomenon illustrates the health care system performance paradox in which the health care system’s successes threaten its own sustainability.20
The health care performance paradox
To address this crisis, we must consider how demand, generated by both patients and professionals, feeds the crisis; and we need to confront these forces with a new way of thinking about what being healthy means and what aging, dying, and death can and should look like. The next article in the series borrows from concepts on planetary limits to propose a reframing of the health care system.
Notes
Editor’s key points
▸ Advances in medicine expand societal expectations and the definition of needs.
▸ This contributes to the medicalization of aging and dying, feeding a death denial society.
▸ These forces lead to the health care performance paradox: successes in reducing mortality increase the needs for chronic disease care, making it unsustainable.
Footnotes
Contributors
Dr Maxine Dumas Pilon conceived the manuscript and wrote the initial draft, contributing most of the content. Drs Timothy Holland and Mathieu Moreau participated in rewriting and content development. All co-authors provided critical feedback, contributed to intellectual development, and approved the final version. All authors agree to be accountable for the integrity of the work.
Competing interests
None declared
La traduction en français de cet article se trouve à https://www.cfp.ca dans la table des matières du numéro de mars 2026 à la page e84.
- Copyright © 2026 the College of Family Physicians of Canada








